TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c11,067$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c9,341$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950.811,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over48c4,921$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.1312257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c2,195$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c2,002$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.571,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…3e5dbacked Under52c1,002$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54026048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c947.11$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over53c678.3$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c614.79$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c526.64$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.071,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under53c501.15$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2658353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c434.45$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5314852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under52c406.66$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.463951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1723964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c375.19$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.371,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c302$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.081,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c302$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under54c302$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0842352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under51c253.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1114946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb0…3a13backed Over50c244.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.811050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over48c242.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9411558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c222.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac94…e414backed Over44c195.48$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.473234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.886737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c187.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under53c183.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1815252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over48c165.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8322349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under48c157.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.815450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under51c145.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over50c145.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.754057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over65c143.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.372,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over47c136.94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c132.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c120.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under36c117.46$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under29c115.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x082a…a540backed Under48c112.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c107.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.971,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Over49c100.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.422339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over47c98.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4118534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c97.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c96.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Over53c94.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under29c92.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8133159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6250351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8eebbacked Over56c87.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a1…9db5backed Over45c83.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+75.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under54c79.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.114755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed Over53c73.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee7…2417backed Under52c72.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97b…27e5backed Under51c71.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Over53c70.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c68.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fc5…1ea2backed Under47c67.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe933…0abcbacked Under47c67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2685…8918backed Under47c65.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bd…35a1backed Under47c64.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under53c64.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c58.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.181,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under53c53.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Over53c53.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.031163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5232148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under43c50.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.772,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7216951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7227945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x440b…7551backed Under48c46.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-75.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2768…6bc6backed Under47c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…15adbacked Over52c44.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c43.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.369854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under52c42.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9729351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Under53c40.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.522867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.993938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.816651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over48c39.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd196…6d5dbacked Over53c38.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.18825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e11…8b81backed Under52c37.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Under51c36.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.683756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under53c36.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.446341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under54c36.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6116053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd24b…3cb7backed Under53c36.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under48c35.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.151,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under53c33.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0111346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over54c32.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1318835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over49c31.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.191,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce6…d3bbbacked Under52c30.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5621649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a14…77e4backed Under51c28.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Under52c27.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.072857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under54c24.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4431953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under54c24.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9813052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Under48c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.634942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Under51c24.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.333138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.