TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over52c22,720$11,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,905.8143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c15,585$7,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,643.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over50c11,473$5,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,736.5819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c9,237$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Over52c6,998$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.943447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c3,844$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c3,785$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.972,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1de…a822backed Under48c3,051$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under50c2,823$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.841,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,199$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over47c2,147$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c1,970$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.691,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c1,931$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.831,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c1,922$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.6490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under48c1,922$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.6458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under48c1,922$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.6429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf65…9194backed Under48c1,404$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over53c1,284$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.258844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.288429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c1,078$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c1,070$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.611,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.43941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over53c1,008$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.984540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under48c983.75$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c981.39$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c978.02$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.571,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.759447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under21c948.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4810523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c872.66$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.881,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under44c825.08$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under51c799.98$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.991,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under50c674.23$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.711250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c631.18$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under48c490.31$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c392.11$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.363661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c362.85$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.912,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under48c348.72$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c317.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over52c298.83$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under48c246.75$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c214.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.32,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Over52c205.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.872835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked Over70c198.25$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.484062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under47c195.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.076848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c194.88$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.411,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under48c185.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under48c178.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c168.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.911,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under46c162.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.397052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under39c148.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over61c138.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.451,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Over52c132.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.989046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2508…e25cbacked Over53c126.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under25c120.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3520741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over60c103.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9718844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under50c97.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4932450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over64c91.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under48c82.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over52c80.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.831,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Under47c79.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.636962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under44c79.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under44c79.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under48c77.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.422143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Over53c63.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.864755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c62.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5936852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c62.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.16237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.115651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over53c54.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over51c54.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over53c53.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2714852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over50c53.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under48c51.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.826336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under24c50.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0512227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Over57c49.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.447448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c48.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.421,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c48.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over51c47.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3513052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2817350.3%87 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcebd…2502backed Over52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c46.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.745,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over52c41.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.113749.6%68 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c41.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under46c40.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over55c39.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.739735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over54c38.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9414931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c37.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5864844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.