NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd22dfdbc5ff73949d41a45dfe1c158f79450d0d7c7bae12dba1608f396ad2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Magic | 50c | 13,513$6,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,757.06 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Pistons | 52c | 9,338$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 52c | 5,422$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.39 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 50c | 2,760$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 48c | 2,741$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.57 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Magic | 53c | 1,964$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.29 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Magic | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 49c | 1,776$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.35 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 50c | 1,724$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.53 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 52c | 1,680$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Magic | 52c | 1,561$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.28 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pistons | 48c | 1,253$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.27 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 48c | 1,171$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…2294backed Pistons | 45c | 999.9$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 50c | 878.82$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pistons | 50c | 878.82$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons | 50c | 878.82$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pistons | 50c | 878.82$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 50c | 830.67$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.33 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Pistons | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 49c | 781.32$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Magic | 51c | 731.17$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.27 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 50c | 710.61$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.31 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Pistons | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Pistons | 50c | 566.47$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…3e7dbacked Magic | 52c | 550.97$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pistons | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pistons | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 61c | 372.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 50c | 248.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Pistons | 51c | 248.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Magic | 48c | 237$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Pistons | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Pistons | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Magic | 72c | 194.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Magic | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pistons | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Pistons | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pistons | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Pistons | 51c | 192.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Magic | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Magic | 49c | 154.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Magic | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Pistons | 51c | 121.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Pistons | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Magic | 50c | 98.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Pistons | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pistons | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Magic | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Pistons | 50c | 95.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Magic | 50c | 88.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Pistons | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Magic | 49c | 83.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Pistons | 51c | 80.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pistons | 50c | 79.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Pistons | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 60c | 75.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Magic | 48c | 74.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Pistons | 51c | 73.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Pistons | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Magic | 56c | 65.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pistons | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Pistons | 50c | 58.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 43c | 57.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Magic | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2e8abacked Magic | 50c | 48.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Pistons | 50c | 46.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Magic | 55c | 45.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5b88backed Pistons | 49c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Pistons | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Pistons | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pistons | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Pistons | 51c | 29.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed Magic | 50c | 28.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1fa0backed Magic | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Magic | 49c | 25.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Magic | 54c | 24.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Magic | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…27e5backed Pistons | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Pistons | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…ba0fbacked Magic | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Pistons | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Magic | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.