TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ee9…5b88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-60.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.4
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$18.33
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$3.88
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.39
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+260.3%+$38.47
Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Madrid: Zdenek Kolar vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$4.42
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Wuning: Pavle Marinkov vs Li Tubacked Pavle Marinkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Mexico City: Jay Clarke vs Matias Sotobacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$27.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.19
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$19.48
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$23.32
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.86
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.