TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof 76ers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,777,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,094,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,777,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers24c121,519$28,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,624.1836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked 76ers20c46,793$9,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,551.2720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs78c40,709$31,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,792.122,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers19c40,073$7,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,572.671,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Spurs75c34,931$26,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,684.065064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…b7e9backed 76ers1c34,162$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers11c33,571$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.281,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed 76ers18c32,077$5,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,773.838750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers23c31,346$7,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,169.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers14c30,319$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers24c29,541$7,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,107.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers18c29,408$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.862,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers16c28,610$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.6766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers6c28,414$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.711,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers16c26,910$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,189.2649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spurs78c25,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50010158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers17c24,855$4,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,270.923,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers20c24,136$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.312,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed 76ers22c19,998$4,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.7518045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Spurs77c17,291$13,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.828035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers23c15,857$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked 76ers23c15,293$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.2814243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed 76ers3c15,159$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.973179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6233…6349backed Spurs77c15,134$11,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.193467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3b…c42bbacked 76ers0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed 76ers21c13,547$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.55633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers16c13,340$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed 76ers23c12,832$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.931,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Spurs77c12,808$9,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.798661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Spurs77c12,471$9,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.125160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers23c12,304$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers23c12,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed 76ers0c11,647$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers23c11,500$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed 76ers26c11,220$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.310860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs76c11,201$8,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.1770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs76c11,068$8,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.3772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb858…9594backed 76ers22c10,887$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.6140%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked 76ers18c10,808$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.0835444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Spurs75c10,699$8,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.9716959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs76c10,327$7,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.5296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Spurs77c10,246$7,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.631250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed 76ers9c10,187$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.5636023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Spurs76c10,014$7,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.4435251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Spurs77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Spurs77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd307…f4d1backed Spurs75c9,969$7,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.431442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c36…7854backed 76ers24c9,544$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.562263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs80c9,246$7,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.9836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs77c9,221$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.8337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed 76ers22c8,827$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.413842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked 76ers23c8,405$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.058728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked 76ers3c8,078$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3414953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked 76ers23c7,878$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.037850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked 76ers23c7,800$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.9323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs73c7,500$5,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0254868.8%33 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers23c7,500$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.9695641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 76ers23c7,310$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.231345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed 76ers21c7,303$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.8324937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6d…4e89backed Spurs76c7,000$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Spurs80c6,890$5,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed 76ers1c6,701$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.45213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Spurs77c6,518$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.659861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Spurs77c6,404$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.9810769.2%74 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked 76ers17c6,275$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.925226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs72c6,232$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.0622458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers23c6,109$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.141,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed 76ers24c5,950$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.9416942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Spurs77c5,621$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.914671.7%33 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers18c5,352$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.7564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed 76ers25c5,335$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.3938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Spurs77c5,167$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.4220843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Spurs78c5,061$3,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.316357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Spurs78c5,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08014959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9943352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed 76ers22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.981,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed 76ers27c4,840$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.5830157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers23c4,769$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.8737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Spurs75c4,672$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.686848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Spurs68c4,628$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.851942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers2c4,524$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.747211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed 76ers23c4,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0358348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed 76ers5c4,495$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8004…d0f1backed Spurs77c4,462$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.318055%44 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Spurs70c4,434$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.173360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Spurs77c4,399$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.763562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Spurs77c4,339$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.031770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs76c4,209$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.2320454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Spurs77c4,200$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9661861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked 76ers12c4,196$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.492842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spurs77c4,133$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.6751753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked 76ers23c4,118$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.1430947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Spurs76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed 76ers23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92015219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e94…7f1ebacked 76ers23c3,977$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.47742.9%33 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 76ers22c3,857$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.3820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Spurs80c3,822$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.454276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Spurs77c3,799$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.6922542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.