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NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c6,176$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c5,937$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over54c4,556$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.5848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Over52c4,176$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.67236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Under48c4,166$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.321181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c3,668$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.682,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over54c3,063$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.9812450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under48c1,173$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.741,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under47c1,056$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c1,052$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.031,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…9c5ebacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5614…83d0backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over55c974.97$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2320051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Over55c974.94$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.228248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c962.53$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.731,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under53c935.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.3265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c905.88$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…f13abacked Over53c904.75$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c736.18$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.651,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…4acdbacked Under48c576.92$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.361,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c510.69$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.771,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c505.69$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.262,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over52c493.07$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Over52c484.63$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.018154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over46c483.8$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.551,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c476.51$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.855,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.419258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under45c429.78$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.386046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c322.2$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.211,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c321.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16515543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c272.55$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7317637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over55c251.56$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.361,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c237.69$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under46c237.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Under48c201.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under45c201.18$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9741753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under45c201$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over31c186.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1120638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under46c167.02$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6827553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under45c150.42$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7321843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under45c146.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c144.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.722,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Over53c142.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c129$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c125.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.333,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c125.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.099848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d8f…98b1backed Under47c102$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under47c101.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.821,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under48c98.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4347738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under47c98.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…061cbacked Under47c94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under47c93.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x960a…42f1backed Under47c93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…7310backed Under47c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf00d…e9b0backed Under47c78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.341040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb4b…fd62backed Under47c77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…cacfbacked Under47c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over55c70.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9217758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f5e…bc03backed Under47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.11428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb130…7767backed Under47c66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over51c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x812e…2fbabacked Under47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over54c62.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under45c62.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.061,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under48c61.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3495049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c59.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.915,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c2…594cbacked Under47c59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under47c57.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5715651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over53c55.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4426…ea88backed Under47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…7197backed Over52c51.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.561942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c48.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under48c48.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955a…60e1backed Under47c48.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c44.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3313749.6%68 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c42.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Under49c36.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7911644%51 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4621952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under46c31.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.936639.4%26 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under47c31.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.496341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under47c30.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3821649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51c…a913backed Under47c30.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.383650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c29.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under45c29.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2323840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under47c28.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0131953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over53c27.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6352552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under45c27.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under48c26.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0719360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Under47c26.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.943956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over48c25.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0114264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.