TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd6f…bad3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.44
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.67
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$18.81
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.17
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$12.45
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.3
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$42.23
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$10.19
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$12.44
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.23
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$17.41
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$11.38
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$8.46
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.31
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$29.72
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+57%+$29.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.8
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$13.1
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$188.06
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$11.34
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarasota: Kilian Feldbausch vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Cannon Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.37
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Mexico City: Dan Martin vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$11.59
Sarasota: Daniel Galan vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$7.88
Sarasota: Darwin Blanch vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Madrid: Arantxa Rus vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$27.66
Campinas: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Santiago De La Fuentebacked Santiago De La Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$7.71
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)backed Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.5
Monza: Vilius Gaubas vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$7.87
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$6.69
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Moise Kouame vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$4.03
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: David Goffin vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+60%+$13.42
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$14.09
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+59%+$16.57
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$7.62
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.83
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.97
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+208%+$94.74
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.49
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$7.62
Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$25.85
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$10.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.02
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$15.96
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.27
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+84%+$12.77
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.59
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85%+$42.52
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$173.89
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+131.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+136.1%+$299.9
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$83.85
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.85
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+720.7%+$434.01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$265.62
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+384.5%+$633.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$4.18
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$9.86
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$70.08
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$22.89
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32%+$18
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$24.87
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.05
Will Pisa SC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$241.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$12.36
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$38.49
LoL: French Flair vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$315.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$28.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$6.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$12.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.