MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e7216c15d1199e7e5646f23e4bbb03df2e38eb0cf3b284272e557d1efe7e389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 28,871$12,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,005.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 12,849$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,892.68 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 9,682$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.46 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 8,770$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.16 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 8,655$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,899$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.9 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…3e53backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,583$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,487$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.53 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,205$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.71 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,674$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,559$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.39 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,234$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.27 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,168$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,793$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.17 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 1,652$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,511$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.84 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,362$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.52 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,178$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.68 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,177$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.1 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,141$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.96 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,064$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 1,060$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.71 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.71 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,044$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.82 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,043$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,041$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 991.63$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.48 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 991.63$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 840.3$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 829.67$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 774.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 771.67$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 759.21$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 741.95$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.91 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 688.41$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 670.52$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 658.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 652.71$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 641.84$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.05 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 632.88$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 630.8$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 622.11$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 584.52$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 576.29$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 531.85$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 512.51$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 493.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.17 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 488.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 479.85$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 473.61$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 447.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 446.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 437.38$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 434.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 432.4$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 424.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 400.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 396.62$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 380.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 374.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 353.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 349.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 345.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 339.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 331.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 328.94$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 315.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 301.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 298.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 296.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 289.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 287$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…8521backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 282.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…40e8backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 255.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 243.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 243.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 243.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 236.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 228$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 218.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 214.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 213.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 212.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 209$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 207.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.