TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe790…eadc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
933
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT27448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 274 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,994.39
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,090
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.77
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,975.1
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$4,664.34
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,098.31
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,993Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$7,250.95
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$1,081.09
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,871.43
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$7,850.58
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$7,086.1
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,529.49
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$3,595.51
Flyers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,418.31
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$3,124.86
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$1,635.83
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$110.91
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$7,279.7
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+70%+$2,724.6
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,573.83
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,569.93
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,777.13
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,559Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$6,997.55
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,534.79
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$8,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,459.68
Showing 25 of 274 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT21656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 216 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$714.1
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.07
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12,096Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$6,068.16
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,202.35
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,074.34
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$3,903.59
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$6,150.69
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$20,060.57
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,523.17
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,742.16
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$7,812.19
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,443.14
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$4,538.34
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,001.21
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,472.71
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,651Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$2,932.08
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$12,818.02
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$5,268.7
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,160.16
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,724.86
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,697Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$4,202.32
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$3,501.13
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,370.91
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,783.13
Showing 25 of 216 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 207 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29,042Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$10,579.09
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$19,840.69
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.96
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52,525.64
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.9
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,779Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$4,545.9
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,751.66
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20,856Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.6%+$40,580.96
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,040.36
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,130.47
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,246.11
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$6,876.08
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.86
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31,730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$21,612.49
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+420.9%+$1,810.43
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15,790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$7,871.9
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47,882Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+39%+$18,657.33
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.99
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.43
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,212.52
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$1,912.07
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,524.77
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,610.16
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,064.02
Showing 25 of 207 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT18954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 189 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26,399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$6,993.52
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14,548Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$8,768.81
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$6,263.66
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,120.18
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$4,544.06
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$280.56
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,953.43
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$551.15
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.37
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19,060Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$6,366.97
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,638.11
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.64
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24,356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$10,034.58
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,806.44
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600.35
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$1,716.99
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$8,044.38
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$402.08
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,836.39
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15,837Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+113%+$17,896.59
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$5,855.68
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$69.77
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,152.32
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$10,764.92
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$11,899.14
Showing 25 of 189 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.69
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,087.58
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,546.05
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$69.57
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,577.12
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$5,189.63
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,146.03
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,712.5
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Brendson Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.38
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Manolo Zecchini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,248.7
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,761Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,102.34
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$4,219.57
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,631Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,944.77
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Dione Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$3,336.73
UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+301.9%+$3,450.33
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$986.97
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,768.82
UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Niko Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.66
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$2,038.68
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$18,352.6
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,194.94
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,842.38
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,344.82
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,944Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$3,481.08
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12,071.74
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,545.89
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.