NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x960679433b5c1ac886715bee2d2e777e40040a187d50ccd9a6a52deacade1dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,932,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,380,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,932,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,778 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 37c | 385,258$141,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,010.47 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Lakers | 47c | 228,328$107,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,013.78 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Warriors | 52c | 199,790$103,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,890.83 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Warriors | 20c | 180,123$36,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,403.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Warriors | 44c | 172,612$75,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,670.69 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Warriors | 53c | 147,093$77,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,959.52 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 47c | 134,370$63,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,603.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Lakers | 41c | 128,923$52,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,221 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Lakers | 39c | 103,751$40,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,287.97 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 49c | 102,282$50,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,163.61 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Warriors | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Lakers | 38c | 79,340$30,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,883.9 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Lakers | 48c | 77,504$37,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,302.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 70c | 75,300$52,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,665.42 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Lakers | 74c | 75,265$56,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,229.09 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Warriors | 50c | 61,744$30,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,610.16 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 33c | 59,110$19,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,565.93 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Warriors | 61c | 55,785$34,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,028.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 46c | 50,000$23,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,830.1 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 26c | 38,141$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Lakers | 47c | 35,724$16,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,933.73 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 43c | 32,546$13,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,635.15 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 0c | 31,962$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 67c | 31,904$21,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Warriors | 53c | 31,149$16,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,552.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 58c | 30,954$18,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,913.87 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 49c | 30,775$14,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,809.15 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 73c | 29,530$21,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990.94 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Lakers | 51c | 28,989$14,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,197.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Lakers | 37c | 28,888$10,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,140.63 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Lakers | 59c | 26,746$15,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,919.86 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…a55cbacked Lakers | 48c | 26,642$12,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,853.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 77c | 24,806$19,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.33 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Warriors | 49c | 24,803$12,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,211.16 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 56c | 24,521$13,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,684.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 55c | 22,101$12,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,255.82 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers | 48c | 21,917$10,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,396.88 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 46c | 21,891$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,820.88 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Lakers | 48c | 20,345$9,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,579.3 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Lakers | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.97 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Warriors | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.97 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Lakers | 67c | 19,143$12,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.48 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 47c | 19,131$9,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,019.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 2c | 18,806$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.06 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f3…73e6backed Warriors | 2c | 18,222$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.95 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 62c | 18,070$11,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930.07 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 68c | 17,835$12,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.08 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 51c | 17,736$9,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,034.74 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lakers | 78c | 17,733$13,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.15 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…614abacked Warriors | 53c | 16,572$8,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,783.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 60c | 16,474$9,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,908.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 62c | 16,081$9,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.7 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 61c | 15,925$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.66 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Lakers | 74c | 15,798$11,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.62 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Warriors | 6c | 15,157$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.3 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Lakers | 67c | 14,878$9,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.29 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…ea58backed Lakers | 50c | 13,465$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,673.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Warriors | 14c | 13,299$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.81 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Warriors | 59c | 12,760$7,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.04 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Warriors | 39c | 12,422$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.43 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…8ccfbacked Lakers | 48c | 12,163$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Warriors | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 49c | 11,983$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.49 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Warriors | 39c | 11,971$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.26 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Lakers | 62c | 11,912$7,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 66c | 11,862$7,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.95 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Lakers | 48c | 11,465$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.67 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Warriors | 59c | 11,244$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,601.07 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lakers | 58c | 11,231$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.97 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Warriors | 39c | 11,224$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.21 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Warriors | 54c | 11,143$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.21 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers | 48c | 10,782$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,606.74 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 59c | 10,486$6,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.76 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Lakers | 73c | 10,465$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.41 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Warriors | 36c | 10,194$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.54 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lakers | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.67 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…734dbacked Lakers | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.67 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Lakers | 71c | 9,688$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.41 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 59c | 9,633$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.95 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 49c | 9,551$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Lakers | 48c | 9,291$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.32 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 58c | 8,970$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.75 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Warriors | 58c | 8,500$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.04 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Lakers | 48c | 8,397$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.64 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Warriors | 1c | 8,135$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Lakers | 50c | 7,933$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.76 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Warriors | 63c | 7,800$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Warriors | 52c | 7,770$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.19 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Lakers | 43c | 7,726$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.05 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Warriors | 58c | 7,710$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.37 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Warriors | 38c | 7,601$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.4 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 37c | 7,124$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.56 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Warriors | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Warriors | 8c | 6,906$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.08 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Warriors | 39c | 6,753$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.66 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Warriors | 57c | 6,564$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.26 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Warriors | 57c | 6,505$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.85 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Warriors | 52c | 6,390$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.79 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Lakers | 76c | 6,369$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Warriors | 56c | 6,333$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Lakers won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.