NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37950f8bb452dd7e9d983d94a58176facb139b6cd5bd0971382c79eeeb5be393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Warriors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lakers | 55c | 19,121$10,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,604.67 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 53c | 15,419$8,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,292.28 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 42c | 11,153$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.06 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Warriors | 39c | 8,849$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.42 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Lakers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Warriors | 47c | 5,186$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.97 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Lakers | 50c | 3,608$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.2 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 49c | 3,007$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Warriors | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Warriors | 44c | 2,377$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.45 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Warriors | 50c | 2,146$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.29 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 56c | 1,917$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 61c | 1,890$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 48c | 1,706$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Warriors | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,491$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 47c | 1,490$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers | 61c | 1,265$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Warriors | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Lakers | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 61c | 1,159$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.35 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 60c | 1,158$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 61c | 1,157$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.7 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Lakers | 61c | 1,146$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.76 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.81 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Warriors | 49c | 1,054$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.86 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Warriors | 45c | 1,052$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.48 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 44c | 1,027$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.93 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Lakers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Warriors | 45c | 1,004$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.83 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,001$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Warriors | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Lakers | 60c | 998.24$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.43 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Lakers | 56c | 980.82$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Lakers | 50c | 979.7$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.85 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Warriors | 46c | 940.51$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.63 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Warriors | 45c | 882.14$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.96 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Warriors | 50c | 857.48$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.74 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 72c | 846.88$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 50c | 844.53$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.27 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Lakers | 59c | 832.2$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.62 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Lakers | 61c | 811.43$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.73 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Warriors | 43c | 801.12$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…78b2backed Warriors | 51c | 768.79$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…59c3backed Lakers | 50c | 768.32$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Warriors | 39c | 716.94$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.61 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Lakers | 49c | 686.5$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Lakers | 52c | 666.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Lakers | 59c | 590.46$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Warriors | 43c | 588.46$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Warriors | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…e521backed Warriors | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Warriors | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Warriors | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Warriors | 42c | 569.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Lakers | 55c | 525.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.69 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers | 64c | 493.34$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 45c | 486.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Warriors | 36c | 472.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 30c | 466.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Warriors | 43c | 463.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Warriors | 50c | 454.7$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 52c | 453.3$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Lakers | 49c | 430.28$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Warriors | 50c | 414.68$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Lakers | 50c | 402.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…60b9backed Lakers | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Lakers | 49c | 376.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Warriors | 50c | 364.72$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Lakers | 50c | 331.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 44c | 303.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Warriors | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Warriors | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…9172backed Warriors | 51c | 289.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaa…782abacked Lakers | 50c | 288.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Warriors | 51c | 287.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Lakers | 70c | 285.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Lakers | 70c | 285.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Lakers | 70c | 285.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…b82ebacked Warriors | 51c | 281.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…427abacked Lakers | 50c | 279.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 50c | 278.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…69b8backed Lakers | 51c | 277.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…11bebacked Warriors | 51c | 276.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Warriors | 51c | 272.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…08e9backed Warriors | 51c | 262.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…f9a2backed Lakers | 50c | 256.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Lakers | 49c | 254.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Warriors | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Warriors | 50c | 218.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Warriors | 49c | 217.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Warriors | 44c | 210.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Lakers | 70c | 205.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Warriors | 50c | 195.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Lakers won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.