NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f94665b927ff7256c77f75f809f4b0fac49eea555bc23d9685b9b7e3668c9ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Warriors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 22c | 18,350$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 28c | 15,286$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 57c | 9,046$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.2 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Warriors | 20c | 8,237$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.56 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 61c | 7,522$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 14c | 7,216$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Warriors | 18c | 5,204$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.11 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Lakers | 59c | 4,354$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.79 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lakers | 78c | 3,364$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 2c | 3,345$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Lakers | 68c | 3,008$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.32 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 22c | 2,793$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.43 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 71c | 2,779$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.03 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Lakers | 65c | 2,559$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 4c | 2,517$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 45c | 2,500$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Warriors | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 57c | 2,152$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Lakers | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.87 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 61c | 1,953$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Lakers | 79c | 1,104$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 60c | 1,019$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Warriors | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Warriors | 40c | 851.8$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Lakers | 79c | 814.36$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Warriors | 6c | 776.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 78c | 740.76$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 5c | 728.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Warriors | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 79c | 597.58$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Lakers | 77c | 574.69$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Lakers | 55c | 531.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.77 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Lakers | 56c | 520.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.11 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Warriors | 4c | 501.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 78c | 496.76$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Lakers | 58c | 475.34$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Warriors | 41c | 466.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Lakers | 64c | 459.85$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers | 55c | 412.82$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers | 79c | 408.24$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Lakers | 61c | 400.25$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…e809backed Lakers | 74c | 391.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Warriors | 18c | 383.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 54c | 347.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Warriors | 43c | 343.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Warriors | 19c | 335.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 61c | 335.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 42c | 317.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors | 16c | 316.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…4a63backed Lakers | 74c | 302$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 39c | 296.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Lakers | 72c | 295.35$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Warriors | 16c | 272.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 42c | 269.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Warriors | 26c | 243.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Warriors | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Warriors | 43c | 204.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 36c | 200.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Lakers | 59c | 198.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Warriors | 24c | 195.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Warriors | 42c | 189.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Warriors | 38c | 178.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Warriors | 46c | 173.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…98e1backed Lakers | 64c | 172.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lakers | 78c | 171.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Lakers | 53c | 168.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Lakers | 54c | 162.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Lakers | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Lakers | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 37c | 157.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Warriors | 37c | 157.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Lakers | 63c | 153.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Warriors | 17c | 150.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Warriors | 27c | 141.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Warriors | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lakers | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 38c | 129.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Lakers | 77c | 128.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Lakers | 80c | 124.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…3414backed Lakers | 55c | 123.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors | 44c | 122.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed Lakers | 61c | 116.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Warriors | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Lakers | 62c | 110.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Lakers | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 74c | 100.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Lakers | 64c | 100.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lakers | 62c | 98.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Warriors | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Warriors | 15c | 95.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Lakers | 74c | 94.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Warriors | 37c | 91.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Warriors | 41c | 90.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Warriors | 42c | 90.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Warriors | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Lakers | 67c | 85.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 75c | 80.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Lakers won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.