TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bf8…03b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
842
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT36752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 367 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$76.26
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$108.64
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.59
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.54
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.49
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.27
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$79.32
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$39.31
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.37
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.93
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Showing 25 of 367 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT27549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 275 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+773.1%+$3,380.29
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.08
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$329.69
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.67
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$136.88
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,094.07
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$118.4
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.61
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.69
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.75
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+187.7%+$2,746.26
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.77
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,808Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,592
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$424.64
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,439
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,220
Showing 25 of 275 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,442
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$1,580.99
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$9,488.22
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$376.47
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,639.39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.97
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$1,184.99
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$140.43
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$182.06
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$1,067.8
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,120.51
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,501
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.3
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.3
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$104.4
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061.21
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.9
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$667.67
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$538
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$646.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$824.01
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.51
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$43.88
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$492.96
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+346.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$122.86
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+95%+$102.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.