NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c50342f8a12e96bb4d71b0b97b0274f707b5492a27cfb2e457c2ec356ba7bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.98 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 6,916$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.1 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 4,635$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.86 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 4,459$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.97 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 64c | 4,104$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.74 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,639$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.76 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 1,515$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.75 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,480$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 53c | 1,384$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 791.47$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.48 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 573.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 561$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 490.64$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 485.54$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.78 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 47c | 473.73$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 53c | 469.91$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 53c | 431.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 268.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 252.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 248.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 244.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 242.03$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…37d2backed Over | 34c | 217.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 13c | 196.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 46c | 192.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 174$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 162.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…971cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 53c | 84.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 53c | 74.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 60.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 59.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 52.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 46.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 43.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 49c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Over | 55c | 40.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…eee6backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…639cbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Under | 48c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…abe9backed Over | 52c | 28.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 49c | 26.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.