TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked Over51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.989159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.991,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c6,916$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c4,635$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.8655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c4,459$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.9725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under64c4,104$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.741,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,639$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c1,515$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.751,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,480$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over53c1,384$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c791.47$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4810944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c573.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c561$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.051,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c490.64$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c485.54$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under47c473.73$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.085940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over53c469.91$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0544052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over53c431.61$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21211858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c268.43$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.161,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c252.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over48c248.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.056636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c244.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c242.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12527549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf875…37d2backed Over34c217.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over13c196.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under46c192.76$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0918653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under76c174$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c162.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over52c107.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…971cbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed Over53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4345251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over52c92.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over53c84.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.822147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over53c74.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4415759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over53c60.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3710757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c59.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c52.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c46.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under47c43.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under49c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.233548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Over55c40.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.32576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.617946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…639cbacked Over50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8325944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under48c31.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.452650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c31.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c28…abe9backed Over52c28.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under49c26.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4213950.4%70 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.