TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,082 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c1,452$639 inWon+$813.1625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c1,408$619 inWon+$788.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c1,202$665 inLost-$664.6364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,079$486 inWon+$593.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,022$449 inWon+$573.051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c704.78$393 inLost-$392.611,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over56c621.33$350 inLost-$35021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c512.68$292 inLost-$292.2384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Over56c425$238 inLost-$238250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over56c422.66$237 inLost-$236.821850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c406.62$177 inWon+$229.5855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost-$20047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x737e…6e75backed Over56c352.97$198 inLost-$197.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over52c327.81$170 inLost-$170.410843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c273.43$114 inLost-$113.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over17c251.83$43 inLost-$43.3618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c219.29$94 inWon+$124.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost-$1006659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a16…5ce9backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under44c165.97$73 inWon+$92.9525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under45c116.89$53 inWon+$64.291,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under45c111.98$50 inWon+$61.986344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc06…d3b7backed Over56c104$58 inLost-$58.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Under46c91.96$42 inWon+$49.661560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over56c60.6$34 inLost-$33.9441038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd660…dd8bbacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon+$29.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under65c45$29 inWon+$15.7571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under44c34.99$15 inWon+$19.6527354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under44c32$14 inWon+$17.9293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb653…b87fbacked Over55c27.27$15 inLost-$1580%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under44c24.99$11 inWon+$13.9910757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under54c20$11 inWon+$9.23894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.