TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,237 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,006$483 inWon+$5234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f2…7381backed Over52c1,006$523 inLost-$523333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under62c389.51$240 inWon+$149.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42a…87d6backed Over51c299.95$153 inLost-$152.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over55c281.99$155 inLost-$1555151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c279.97$126 inWon+$153.9879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over25c247.96$63 inLost-$63.1920558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over50c180$90 inLost-$9025039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c177.95$87 inWon+$90.751,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Under50c131.25$66 inWon+$65.61675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d92…9748backed Over63c95.39$60 inLost-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96d…6af2backed Over52c57.83$30 inLost-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b8…3446backed Over52c48.75$25 inLost-$25.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under50c43.17$22 inWon+$21.5841038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd080…fe57backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon+$20.824100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon+$20.825637.5%21 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Over49c40.21$20 inLost-$19.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc36e…cab1backed Under50c39.71$20 inWon+$19.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under51c38.47$20 inWon+$18.673894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under49c33.67$16 inWon+$17.171872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d98…1e48backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.411566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over45c26.16$12 inLost-$11.8414860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23b…b787backed Under79c16$13 inWon+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.