TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Under44c9,167$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.771,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under57c6,716$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.4856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Over36c5,070$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c4,291$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.861,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c3,264$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.2952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over22c2,495$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.4518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over33c2,400$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4720155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c2,256$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over23c2,239$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over19c2,114$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Over18c2,100$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3773743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Over18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over23c1,688$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.85937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over21c1,647$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under10c1,500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over10c1,351$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.09911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c1,262$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.1264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over25c1,247$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7576054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under61c1,200$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x036b…ead4backed Under13c1,150$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.171392.3%12 W · 1 L+7.1wins+0.55per pick38cpaid+211.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Under60c1,145$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Over11c1,096$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.422560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over21c981.26$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over26c925.29$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under62c924.5$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over24c890.84$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c861.55$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3910944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under12c839.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.811675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+95.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c804.28$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81be…43e6backed Over47c780$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6c…2352backed Over18c750.66$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over8c649.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Over32c600.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.094839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d9e…4cf7backed Over77c582.65$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Over7c495$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.931125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed Under80c492.62$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Over34c449.34$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15214330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under12c420$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over7c411.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb6…f256backed Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92c9…c500backed Over22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…d0a8backed Under13c396$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+164.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Under62c380$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.351631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over19c368.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.359956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over32c365.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9818140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under60c342$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.523441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf93c…291cbacked Over24c339.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over59c336.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under13c313.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7121046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under60c305.07$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under11c301.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88f…34cebacked Over34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under12c299.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Under63c282$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under58c266$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.542,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under11c265.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a8…4287backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+136.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under19c262.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under12c251$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under13c247.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2920247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under49c243.93$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.886636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under63c234$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under66c226$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under73c225$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.179853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Under22c224.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.471546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over21c222.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9899…387bbacked Over24c206.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over49c203.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over16c198.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5166732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Under27c196.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Over25c195$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7523130.3%70 W · 161 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Under27c184$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1344431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Under27c184$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c2…b705backed Over20c181.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under13c170.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under77c166$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1854549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under74c165.25$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Over30c163.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9517852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over51c157.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e0…c1d5backed Over45c140$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+138.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under48c132.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8316429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over50c132.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.838846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3c1…13cabacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over17c126.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b35…70d9backed Over25c124.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under12c116.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1516048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under61c114.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.737360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under11c113.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8318653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…ec59backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50b…2148backed Over35c110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae10…16c4backed Over18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Under30c109.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.43333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under12c108.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.951,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over23c107.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3218844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under54c105.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.