TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,090 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under43c20,000$8,600 inWon+$11,399.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over57c17,786$10,138 inLost-$10,138.242245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c3,157$1,366 inWon+$1,790.8855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c2,398$1,367 inLost-$1,366.9784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,525$656 inWon+$869.221,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c1,513$728 inLost-$727.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over54c913.09$491 inLost-$490.671,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Over57c400$228 inLost-$22816251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6947…d21bbacked Over57c384.63$219 inLost-$219.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c313.25$179 inLost-$178.9864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over33c300$98 inLost-$97.618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc58…c892backed Over58c223.94$130 inLost-$129.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c0…be65backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over7c143.85$10 inLost-$10.0125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Over59c135.59$80 inLost-$804557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over61c131.41$80 inLost-$8013554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under46c130$60 inWon+$70.125340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c109.04$52 inWon+$56.71,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over26c97.59$25 inLost-$25.3718140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over20c67.83$13 inLost-$13.4368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over35c64.46$23 inLost-$22.5632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over60c58$35 inLost-$34.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over58c56.15$33 inLost-$32.571,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over54c45$24 inLost-$24.371752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost-$258057.5%46 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e48…10fcbacked Over60c40$24 inLost-$24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Over57c38.6$22 inLost-$221850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over55c35.89$20 inLost-$19.7410061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x944a…19fabacked Over57c30.7$17 inLost-$17.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over59c30.3$18 inLost-$17.8841038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under40c27.31$11 inWon+$16.3933356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under45c26.31$12 inWon+$14.4713950.4%70 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over52c26$14 inLost-$13.5225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Over57c20$11 inLost-$11.41546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under52c20$10 inWon+$9.63894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x02af…c8d0backed Over59c18.1$11 inLost-$10.68650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca7…0f98backed Over61c17.09$10 inLost-$10.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.