TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,743 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over17c1,926$337 inLost-$336.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under65c1,799$1,166 inWon+$633.111,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over76c1,435$1,092 inLost-$1,091.7564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c1,000$410 inWon+$5902,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over71c281.75$200 inLost-$20021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under75c232.64$175 inWon+$57.569956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x036b…ead4backed Under25c199.42$50 inWon+$149.571392.3%12 W · 1 L+7.1wins+0.55per pick38cpaid+211.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c180.54$84 inWon+$96.3655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c141$68 inWon+$73.222,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff6…521ebacked Over74c135.12$100 inLost-$99.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under26c134.73$35 inWon+$99.755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost-$1001070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over78c128.21$100 inLost-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c127.82$58 inWon+$70.31,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under45c115.28$52 inWon+$63.2525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…d0a8backed Under35c108.26$38 inWon+$70.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+164.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over21c103$21 inLost-$21.2776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over77c98.7$76 inLost-$761442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over34c90.66$31 inLost-$30.6518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bca…2c1dbacked Over76c65.79$50 inLost-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under22c56.23$13 inWon+$43.621,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under76c55$42 inWon+$13.254549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under42c46.67$20 inWon+$27.073894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over77c42.22$33 inLost-$32.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2f…6884backed Over77c29.87$23 inLost-$231942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-40%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x03cd…f368backed Over54c22.22$12 inLost-$122166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09eb…2d8abacked Over79c15.27$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.