TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6e1…06bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
400
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT24162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 241 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.27
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.67
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$880.43
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$125.53
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$101.34
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$130.11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$434
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$376.96
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$182.59
Showing 25 of 241 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT13757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$206.14
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+234.9%+$1,343.59
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$431
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$181.64
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$51.7
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$536.67
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$83.33
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$393.08
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$97.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$250.34
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$56.46
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$100.42
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$37.4
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$98.38
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$133.14
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$52.84
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$90.26
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.