Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b52405ad0e0d31bfe970940b67d77f24ecedeab8a2361c11148c02a006e325c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,345,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,281,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,345,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 8,457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 4c | 5,523,133$197,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,160.04 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,931,018$114,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,542.87 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 4,387,130$136,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,946.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,387,924$92,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,730.7 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 2,359,904$112,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,777.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 2c | 2,341,508$55,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,237.98 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,158,195$42,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,172.78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aeb…eb6cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,848,000$69,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,280.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,813,059$38,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,859 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Yes | 3c | 1,490,887$43,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,018.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,335,120$30,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,572.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b4…e777backed Yes | 8c | 1,325,123$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 4c | 1,320,439$50,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000.92 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,105,323$27,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,027.75 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 5c | 1,037,425$50,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,281.34 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…2348backed Yes | 0c | 1,036,370$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 2c | 985,972$20,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,778.72 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 2c | 977,371$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 2c | 973,057$23,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,042.75 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Yes | 2c | 921,157$20,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,662.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 883,152$30,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,176.87 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Yes | 2c | 872,422$21,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,189.58 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 2c | 834,155$20,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,012.95 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 2c | 809,672$16,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,554.6 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 766,057$24,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,771.32 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…2415backed Yes | 6c | 749,673$44,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,680.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 2c | 629,346$12,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,980.05 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 3c | 605,783$19,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,873.95 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 2c | 563,118$11,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,562.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…2f73backed Yes | 3c | 541,030$13,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,645.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 3c | 521,516$16,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,141.17 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 3c | 508,506$13,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,595.81 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Yes | 3c | 508,226$13,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,213.88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…6202backed Yes | 3c | 500,664$13,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,590.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 2c | 500,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 2c | 500,000$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 3c | 493,795$13,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,638.37 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 487,106$11,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,464.75 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 3c | 459,196$12,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,157 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 3c | 450,000$13,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,098.47 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 6c | 445,373$26,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,565.09 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 5c | 444,800$21,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,299.29 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Yes | 6c | 427,054$23,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,761 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…401fbacked Yes | 3c | 420,000$14,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,687.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 1c | 411,527$6,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.52 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 5c | 405,607$19,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,779.59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 3c | 400,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Yes | 3c | 390,994$11,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,215.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes | 2c | 386,146$8,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,515.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 2c | 385,658$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.26 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 2c | 383,290$8,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Yes | 2c | 382,664$9,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,525.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed Yes | 2c | 380,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…d53dbacked Yes | 3c | 376,927$9,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,423.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 5c | 370,661$18,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,493.58 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…8234backed Yes | 3c | 361,830$9,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,045.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 2c | 342,114$8,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,213.61 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 2c | 335,570$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920.34 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 2c | 327,234$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.8 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Yes | 1c | 325,603$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.85 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 4c | 323,979$13,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,776.61 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 6c | 321,995$18,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,325.7 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 4c | 311,075$11,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,418.63 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 3c | 309,348$8,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,343.24 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 3c | 300,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 2c | 300,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 3c | 299,898$8,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,636.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…4498backed Yes | 3c | 284,454$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,195.81 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 3c | 282,995$7,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,206.37 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 3c | 281,989$8,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.02 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 4c | 274,836$10,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,359.29 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…c416backed Yes | 3c | 274,353$7,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,810.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa424…752abacked Yes | 2c | 269,448$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 6c | 265,208$15,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,868.58 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…6a78backed Yes | 2c | 260,233$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,192.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 2c | 255,510$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815.98 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…25a8backed Yes | 3c | 250,157$6,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,681.83 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 2c | 250,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 250,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Yes | 2c | 250,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…319cbacked Yes | 2c | 248,725$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 4c | 241,852$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…6f40backed Yes | 4c | 240,456$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…708bbacked Yes | 3c | 240,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 239,891$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.02 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…da51backed Yes | 2c | 238,225$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 5c | 234,838$12,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,005.1 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…434fbacked Yes | 3c | 228,703$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…a837backed Yes | 5c | 222,965$10,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,952.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 2c | 222,635$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.26 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373d…def6backed Yes | 2c | 222,597$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…d3fbbacked Yes | 3c | 221,388$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 3c | 217,000$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Yes | 2c | 213,142$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.76 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 212,124$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.45 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 2c | 210,185$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.18 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes | 2c | 204,975$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.52 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…f5ecbacked Yes | 3c | 204,200$5,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…6c92backed Yes | 2c | 201,509$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.23 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…8983backed Yes | 2c | 200,480$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.9 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.