TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,007,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,673,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,007,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfcb9…2612backed Yes0c3,376,473$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,376.4760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c2,416,401$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.4120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c1,242,402$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c1,013,938$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.94110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c1,000,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c799,999$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6009819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c666,862$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.86147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c643,988$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.981705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c499,996$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa1…885abacked Yes0c333,000$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c292,294$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.29128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c274,203$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.4112711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c245,635$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.272825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc48a…4e9dbacked Yes0c185,497$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbf…04b3backed Yes0c185,463$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc168…4e45backed Yes0c185,374$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c73…127abacked Yes0c185,325$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddc…c8b0backed Yes0c185,284$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d93…3a1bbacked Yes0c185,247$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4689…7228backed Yes0c185,242$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2112…7c64backed Yes0c185,242$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c2…d4edbacked Yes0c184,893$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e0…61fbbacked Yes0c184,851$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457e…7441backed Yes0c184,851$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa0…9037backed Yes0c184,786$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440f…dc72backed Yes0c184,745$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aed…5f07backed Yes0c184,641$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6311…a458backed Yes0c184,633$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3f…d47fbacked Yes0c184,632$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab12…4409backed Yes0c184,572$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa510…0511backed Yes0c184,489$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6129…0c5abacked Yes0c184,484$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ec…034bbacked Yes0c184,412$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…1830backed Yes0c184,406$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe588…9a4abacked Yes0c184,342$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68c…7d71backed Yes0c184,263$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc3…b114backed Yes0c184,173$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc381…b4f3backed Yes0c184,169$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd37…a8b8backed Yes0c184,169$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa968…77ffbacked Yes0c184,110$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd9…d85abacked Yes0c184,090$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff4…6e12backed Yes0c184,034$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…10bcbacked Yes0c183,832$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56aa…6432backed Yes0c181,079$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a3…1293backed Yes0c181,074$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f52…1872backed Yes0c180,750$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…7b67backed Yes0c180,702$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d7…3f88backed Yes0c180,640$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4695…57e6backed Yes0c180,611$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dee…915abacked Yes0c178,142$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a43…aaf2backed Yes0c178,066$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1463…52f7backed Yes0c177,450$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d7…bb98backed Yes0c175,941$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5a…2570backed Yes0c175,845$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf09…f4c1backed Yes0c175,845$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…53b2backed Yes0c175,779$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…916cbacked Yes0c175,757$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35c…8b2abacked Yes0c175,757$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbd…5e1ebacked Yes0c175,715$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3c…dcadbacked Yes0c175,610$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc3…c90ebacked Yes0c175,411$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…c212backed Yes0c175,164$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9acb…a3fcbacked Yes0c175,164$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…bc53backed Yes0c175,152$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x181c…d794backed Yes0c175,040$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96dd…30c4backed Yes0c169,814$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…33b7backed Yes0c161,377$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c135,857$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.66210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c0…1dddbacked Yes0c125,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…352ebacked Yes0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18f…73ebbacked Yes0c113,000$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c110,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c107,000$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…4bb3backed Yes0c103,711$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea7…68f8backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c99,998$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a8…e61fbacked Yes0c94,088$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes0c83,000$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0527…f6d1backed Yes0c81,738$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd4…cda9backed Yes0c79,679$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c77,687$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccb…d731backed Yes0c75,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e9…3cbbbacked Yes0c75,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f5…b326backed Yes0c73,882$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8e…68ecbacked Yes0c69,800$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8421…420cbacked Yes0c67,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29db…33f5backed Yes0c60,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeee…cd54backed Yes0c59,780$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes0c57,920$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.927636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf35…9598backed Yes0c56,325$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Yes0c55,643$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.291428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes0c55,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5613731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a31…388cbacked Yes0c55,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.