TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x19ed…6feb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$973
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519%+$11,157.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.99
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.35
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.74
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$988.35
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,171.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$4,939.62
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,745Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$3,160.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$417.14
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,303.38
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$1,038.81
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$569.23
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.65
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.36
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,653Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$1,016.81
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+189.6%+$426.71
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$500.64
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.74
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$490.17
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$155.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$3,103.62
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,828.04
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,015.04
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$750.63
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$426.92
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$336
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.02
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$796.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,997.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$553.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+174.5%+$959.62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+64.9%+$126.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$118.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,416.93
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.01
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$221.63
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,276.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+4,276.7%+$483.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+111.4%+$45.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$196
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$575
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.