Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc263de019735f170e5580385650abb7440a9fa1c37ab10f5f5051f939f56c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 68c | 47,972$32,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,620.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 44,632$14,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,989.77 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 68c | 36,068$24,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,526.23 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 33c | 34,063$11,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,822.29 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 67c | 25,374$17,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000.64 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 68c | 17,742$12,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,085.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…c8eebacked Yes | 44c | 10,168$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 28c | 7,713$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 32c | 7,475$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 32c | 5,950$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.83 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 68c | 5,934$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.02 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 5,385$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.94 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 4,477$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.59 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 3,198$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.85 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 33c | 3,102$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 33c | 3,076$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…da18backed No | 68c | 2,942$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,843$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.99 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,689$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.2 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 2,379$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 2,125$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.99 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 32c | 2,001$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.39 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…4c71backed Yes | 32c | 1,156$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 1,153$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.73 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 68c | 1,147$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 1,037$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.49 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 68c | 1,030$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 32c | 994.8$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…823bbacked No | 68c | 963.46$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 28c | 953.57$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 68c | 910.29$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 32c | 881.25$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 827.89$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.23 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 806$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.08 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked Yes | 76c | 794.34$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 772$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.96 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 32c | 728.39$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…c498backed No | 69c | 715.94$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 26c | 704.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…c2a1backed No | 69c | 663.77$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 33c | 636.36$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 564.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.22 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 25c | 560$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 58c | 511.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 32c | 495.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.86 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed No | 68c | 452.94$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…d421backed Yes | 68c | 423.13$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 399.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.37 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 26c | 366.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 68c | 353$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 318.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked No | 45c | 309.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…a5adbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 76c | 287.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes | 59c | 285.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 68c | 267.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 43c | 258.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…e6afbacked Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 227$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 32c | 225.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 28c | 218.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…4e1fbacked No | 69c | 205.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 38c | 204.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…067bbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 68c | 190.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…61a8backed No | 34c | 178.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…9a99backed No | 69c | 172.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 32c | 167.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 23c | 165.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…2370backed No | 69c | 162.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 35c | 151.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.