Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca98c71a689fbb555673473e19cf01de343b8218fc2b61ff403d5914d7ab2422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 57,206$32,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,824.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 66c | 42,841$28,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,541.45 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 71c | 30,567$21,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,634.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 27,974$18,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,396.81 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 33c | 11,990$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 11,538$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.42 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 34c | 7,902$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.77 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 6,547$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.07 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 5,807$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.57 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 66c | 5,691$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.07 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 5,310$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.3 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 34c | 4,707$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 66c | 4,572$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.63 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 34c | 4,411$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.83 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 34c | 3,531$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 3,387$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.29 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 16c | 3,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…d421backed Yes | 34c | 2,943$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 2,936$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b767backed Yes | 35c | 2,904$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 34c | 2,900$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 35c | 2,861$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 67c | 2,810$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.29 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…7830backed Yes | 29c | 2,599$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 34c | 2,353$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 77c | 2,300$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 2,166$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.34 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 29c | 2,011$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 1,843$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.35 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 29c | 1,751$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.09 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 1,750$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.49 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 1,748$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.22 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 66c | 1,632$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.46 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,543$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.19 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,515$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.8 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 19c | 1,490$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 32c | 1,487$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…f5f5backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 34c | 1,449$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.77 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 32c | 1,413$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…f953backed Yes | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 17c | 1,170$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 1,150$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.81 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 33c | 1,076$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,028$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 66c | 1,022$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 66c | 1,020$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 67c | 999.92$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 67c | 970.93$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 32c | 932$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 886.65$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.21 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 32c | 852.27$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 846$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.44 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 66c | 845.66$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 68c | 755.93$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…10ccbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes | 35c | 695.17$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes | 32c | 690$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 68c | 647.78$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed No | 77c | 599.98$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 68c | 599.94$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 34c | 596.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Yes | 32c | 591.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…eb78backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 567.78$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 30c | 546.47$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 35c | 538.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Yes | 35c | 536.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 27c | 475.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 468.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 30c | 468.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 33c | 458.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 34c | 451.52$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 66c | 420$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 48c | 416.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…351fbacked Yes | 24c | 410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 33c | 405.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 66c | 401.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 18c | 401.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…ce5ebacked Yes | 31c | 400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 34c | 393.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…5191backed Yes | 34c | 391.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.