TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x088e…bc56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
246
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7025.7%18 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.13
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$3,835.4
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,063.65
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$8,647.13
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$3,168
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$2,567.82
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.24
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,573Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$2,637.09
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,283.63
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.25
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.59
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4,253.87
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$211.41
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.21
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.27
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.04
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.55
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.77
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$35.26
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+882.2%+$1,907.02
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.06
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.84
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$11,273.35
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$55.29
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$22.05
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.03
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$51.8
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$445.56
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$468.83
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$264.54
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$529.89
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$968.8
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$107.31
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.36
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,997Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+51.4%+$2,055.22
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$284.58
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+39.2%+$294.29
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.68
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$108.01
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$81.95
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$29.52
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.37
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$11.43
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.1
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.82
Will KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.74
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.91
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.86
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$226.35
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Will Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.96
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Will Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.6
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$959.38
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,817.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,745Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$514.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$227.43
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$715.25
Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$61.87
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+233.3%+$545.3
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.9
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.66
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.34
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$599.92
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,252.9
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$153.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3,716.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$503.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+84.9%+$1,473.76
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$134.05
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$5,334.63
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,613.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$959.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+50.2%+$483.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,485.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$722.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,399.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$954.6
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.06
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$6,362.84
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,905.2
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$65.63
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,390.51
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$349.76
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+150%+$49.68
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.53
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$593.74
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$258.18
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$907.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470.26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.81
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.82
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$423.71
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$114.68
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+156.4%+$72.35
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$51.7
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$288.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+261.1%+$208.74
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+124.7%+$64.22
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$85.34
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,620
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$61.07
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.49
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,264.02
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,728.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52.52
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$231.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$179.93
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$217.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$72.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$44.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$475.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$760.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.