Champions League · resolved market
Will KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4e94f1fa504016e705ecbccaeb9ccd8ca6fe91141e76af99f7d45670a97d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 4c | 2,200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 46c | 1,784$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.71 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 1,256$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 60c | 704.81$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed No | 71c | 691$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed No | 14c | 635.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 567.36$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.22 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 27c | 538.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 487.47$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.23 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 467.68$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 15c | 389$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes | 30c | 320.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 30c | 310$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 265.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 77c | 260.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 21c | 222.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 75c | 140.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 38c | 135.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 101.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 98.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 85.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 85.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…b132backed Yes | 34c | 84.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 80.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 58c | 75.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 68.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…ef36backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 47.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 30c | 33.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 43c | 26.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-21?No won
- Will KÍ win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.