TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb344…31ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+69.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$73.11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$24.53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$76.93
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$50.15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$32.96
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$20.89
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$72.8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$28.9
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$45.53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$46.25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+1,646.9%+$214.09
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.73
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$20.03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$76.76
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$31.2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$55.73
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$50.38
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.71
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$27.15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$9.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.73
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$41.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$97.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will UMF Stjarnan vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.