Champions League · resolved market
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef6a73e4fbba08dd34c65b5d6b61263eb5984b1290869dedc73b4e6f3db3769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 3,392$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.79 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,564$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.58 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 15c | 2,339$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.13 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 12c | 2,022$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 55c | 1,041$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.32 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 906.98$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.95 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 621$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 548.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 47c | 310$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 33c | 280.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 7c | 187.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 9c | 164.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Under | 74c | 153.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 68c | 145.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 80.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 80.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 24c | 55.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 54c | 46.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 72c | 41.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 40.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 60c | 27.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 26.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 44c | 24.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 66c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5this page
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Team to AdvanceFK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: KÍ (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.