Champions League · resolved market
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0281267559475a97412d761879317c1ae8b39db025d91fcc5ebd9689000a07b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Kauno Žalgirisof FK Kauno Žalgiris, KÍ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe50…b05cbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 67c | 795.78$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KÍ | 33c | 746.12$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed KÍ | 31c | 622.24$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed KÍ | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 71c | 425.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KÍ | 31c | 258$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KÍ | 29c | 226.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed KÍ | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked KÍ | 31c | 149.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf9…3ddbbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 69c | 125.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KÍ | 29c | 103.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed KÍ | 30c | 102.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 67c | 99.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 70c | 62.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed KÍ | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 68c | 51.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed KÍ | 32c | 41.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 70c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 71c | 14.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Team to Advancethis page
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: KÍ (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.