Champions League · resolved market
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x882dd9d726ca296fdf2f8de573f4230ec1d131e3d1372177d19f409add8cb2a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 33c | 2,318$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.5 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 2,132$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.75 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,416$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.81 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 984.41$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.33 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 806.02$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 69c | 722.16$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 31c | 680.46$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 33c | 589.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.38 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 69c | 512$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 69c | 447$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.29 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 33c | 305.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 69c | 202.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 70c | 192.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…5bd1backed Over | 50c | 179.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 62c | 178.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 62c | 169.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 54c | 150.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 70c | 139.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 37c | 134.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 122.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 113.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 100.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Under | 29c | 94.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 31c | 89.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 60c | 78.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 71c | 74.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 32c | 46.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Under | 36c | 36.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 31c | 35.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Under | 39c | 30.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 27.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 42c | 25.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 58c | 22.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 68c | 17.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Team to AdvanceFK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: KÍ (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.