TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb8c…191c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$89.09
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.31
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)backed Club Bolívar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$136.71
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)backed CS Cristal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$64.28
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)backed Independiente Medellín · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$253.38
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$251.04
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$371.16
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)backed Coritiba FBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.65
CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)backed Mirassol FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Mirassol FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed FC Juárez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$164.41
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-71%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.73
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.39
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.36
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.23
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.49
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$38.91
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+229.3%+$220.16
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+199.8%+$399.5
Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$26.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: NEC (-1.5)backed Willem II Tilburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed Sandefjord Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)backed Vålerenga Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)backed IF Brommapojkarna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$129.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$73.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$35.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prengabacked Prenga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.