TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$502,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$549,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No39c64,736$25,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,333.6828940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c42,059$23,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,941.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes63c33,657$21,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,560.633920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c25,267$14,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,945.7382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c22,730$14,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,967.392,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes67c18,446$12,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,152.051,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes49c15,686$7,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,934.612737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No48c11,342$5,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,461.7775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No59c9,022$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.810446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes38c8,741$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,421.9923733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes52c8,626$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.523044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No42c8,471$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.1931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes74c6,763$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78312646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No3c6,660$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.811025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes60c6,602$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.4930847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No58c5,820$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.153545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No44c5,482$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.968139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No47c5,340$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.5729037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c5,059$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.141,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No45c4,962$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.511338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes55c4,695$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.241,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes72c4,551$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.816339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Yes54c4,332$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes50c4,047$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.118743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes38c3,991$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.8157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No60c3,982$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.519155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No38c3,771$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.4212738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes45c3,618$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.0416864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c3,455$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.521,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes43c2,762$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.775957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No2c2,736$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7710618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No53c2,500$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.9921538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes62c2,447$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.798268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No60c2,301$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.631,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No60c2,253$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.3810933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes52c2,170$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.426144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No36c2,130$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.283842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No26c2,045$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2112156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8747741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No44c1,880$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.168657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No7c1,782$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.316641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No48c1,768$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.1726835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes59c1,591$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.2189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c1,571$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.441,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes63c1,348$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.691353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes31c1,282$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.544254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No33c1,266$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.723040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No29c1,192$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0711039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes53c1,181$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.4413451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No34c1,162$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No20c1,143$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.764436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes49c1,024$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.62458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes51c1,015$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2519053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed No49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes42c967.99$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.9210667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes57c963.66$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.1329047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes62c953.58$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.931,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No37c931.74$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3617051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes52c901.04$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No63c900$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5677248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No15c752.37$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No60c746.66$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44817440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes64c715.25$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8119437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes77c705.11$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.114182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No35c664.22$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5414530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes32c613.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.3764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes20c607$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.3999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No45c598.66$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes34c591.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.681931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked No33c588.22$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.013148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c536.38$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.471,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No11c533.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6715625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa63…f061backed Yes55c532.21$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Yes56c525.23$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes35c470.27$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6312338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Yes63c439.3$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes63c436.75$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6931136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No27c427.52$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Yes64c427.42$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Yes65c422.17$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes48c413.43$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1819050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes60c409.6$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.419953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Yes66c408.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No63c398.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick75cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Yes65c398.65$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Yes65c389.49$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes66c389.12$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Yes65c385.83$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No54c385.42$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No50c383.17$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3369453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No53c376.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4220665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Yes66c373.36$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Yes64c371.57$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes64c370.79$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Yes66c370.15$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes56c353.35$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes63c322.48$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8c…191cbacked Yes51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No62c285.46$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5226465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed No72c278.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.