TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd072…95e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
275
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Mls, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT24851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 248 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.55
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darya Astakhova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Darya Astakhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.73
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.4
US Open, Qualification WTA: Anna Siskova vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$166.85
US Open, Qualification WTA: Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jonesbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.28
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$85.72
ITF W35 Barueri Women: Leticia Garcia Vidal vs Virginia Crockerbacked Leticia Garcia Vidal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$16.05
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchibacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$110.61
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$365.37
ITF M15 Allershausen Men: Thiago Cigarran vs Thanaphat Boosarawongsebacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$39.27
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jodie Burrage vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Jodie Burrage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
ITF W15 Torello Women: Alice Gillan vs Esther Lopez Alcarazbacked Alice Gillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$25.69
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.87
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Philadelphia: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonbacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Showing 25 of 248 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$131.33
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$34.46
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+179%+$84.04
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$36.19
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$563.13
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.9
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.51
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$99.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.85
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.58
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+93%+$450.23
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$213.04
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$56.7
NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Clippersbacked Minnesota Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.