Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a5c6a4d8057b7d8a14d3091183aab4ee27b232f21c603a9574b81898b46094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunchaokete Buof Yunchaokete Bu, Rio Noguchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Yunchaokete Bu | 73c | 54,733$39,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,828.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rio Noguchi | 48c | 45,211$21,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,844.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Yunchaokete Bu | 50c | 25,207$12,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,537.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 25,000$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 45c | 19,023$8,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.82 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rio Noguchi | 31c | 17,879$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.35 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Yunchaokete Bu | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked Yunchaokete Bu | 65c | 12,359$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Yunchaokete Bu | 71c | 9,865$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.62 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Rio Noguchi | 41c | 8,102$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.39 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 8,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rio Noguchi | 26c | 7,692$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.89 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Yunchaokete Bu | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yunchaokete Bu | 72c | 5,418$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.45 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…21babacked Yunchaokete Bu | 37c | 4,950$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rio Noguchi | 28c | 4,830$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.32 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rio Noguchi | 32c | 4,429$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.75 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Rio Noguchi | 1c | 4,162$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 4,121$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.37 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Rio Noguchi | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yunchaokete Bu | 46c | 3,568$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 3,432$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.29 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 26c | 3,124$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.9 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…602bbacked Rio Noguchi | 28c | 2,964$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Rio Noguchi | 62c | 2,750$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Yunchaokete Bu | 77c | 2,466$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.97 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…31c7backed Yunchaokete Bu | 30c | 2,463$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 2,366$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.28 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 2,350$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 2,304$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.87 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yunchaokete Bu | 13c | 2,239$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.77 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yunchaokete Bu | 13c | 2,209$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.77 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…9bfdbacked Rio Noguchi | 5c | 2,100$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yunchaokete Bu | 13c | 2,075$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.48 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Rio Noguchi | 51c | 1,982$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.7 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Rio Noguchi | 52c | 1,968$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.36 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yunchaokete Bu | 75c | 1,959$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yunchaokete Bu | 54c | 1,857$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 1,684$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.42 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Rio Noguchi | 32c | 1,666$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.87 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yunchaokete Bu | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.67 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…6d8dbacked Rio Noguchi | 28c | 1,626$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yunchaokete Bu | 38c | 1,566$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.18 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Rio Noguchi | 29c | 1,449$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.25 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 1,443$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.63 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Yunchaokete Bu | 72c | 1,385$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 66c | 1,264$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.73 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 54c | 1,249$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.57 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Rio Noguchi | 39c | 1,223$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.53 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Yunchaokete Bu | 67c | 1,214$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.54 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rio Noguchi | 36c | 1,202$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.82 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Yunchaokete Bu | 42c | 1,198$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yunchaokete Bu | 44c | 1,196$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.36 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yunchaokete Bu | 68c | 1,163$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 70c | 1,117$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 49c | 1,105$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.85 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Rio Noguchi | 39c | 1,085$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.66 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Rio Noguchi | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Rio Noguchi | 20c | 1,056$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8b6cbacked Rio Noguchi | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Rio Noguchi | 62c | 940.69$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.59 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 939.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.68 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 938.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.77 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 936.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.79 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 928.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.34 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 925.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.03 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 924$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 923.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.75 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 15c | 896.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.95 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 874.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.29 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Rio Noguchi | 19c | 855$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 837$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Yunchaokete Bu | 25c | 831.78$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.84 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Yunchaokete Bu | 17c | 827.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.11 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…8972backed Yunchaokete Bu | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Yunchaokete Bu | 15c | 774.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.22 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 15c | 770.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.04 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Rio Noguchi | 6c | 764.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yunchaokete Bu | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Yunchaokete Bu | 14c | 674.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.65 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Rio Noguchi | 40c | 669.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.01 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Yunchaokete Bu | 20c | 656.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.64 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Rio Noguchi | 29c | 650$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Rio Noguchi | 27c | 557$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yunchaokete Bu | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rio Noguchi | 27c | 541.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Yunchaokete Bu | 15c | 517.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.02 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rio Noguchi | 17c | 505$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yunchaokete Bu | 46c | 499.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.97 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rio Noguchi | 54c | 473.01$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Yunchaokete Bu | 66c | 457.77$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…621fbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 37c | 419.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…d46ebacked Yunchaokete Bu | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yunchaokete Bu | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Rio Noguchi | 25c | 381.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bu vs NoguchiNoguchi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.