TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f17…0724

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
727
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT70254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 702 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Vendula Valdmannova vs Maria Lourdes Carlebacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$433.31
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Kristina Mladenovicbacked Kristina Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600.17
US Open, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$865.1
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.87
Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$793.66
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navonebacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$231.11
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshitabacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
US Open, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Mary Stoianabacked Harmony Tan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.2
Monterrey Open: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeevabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.8
Monterrey Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.77
Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$338.55
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.05
US Open, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$29.76
US Open, Qualification WTA: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Astra Sharmabacked Yeon-Woo Ku · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$247.59
US Open, Qualification WTA: Julia Avdeeva vs Katherine Sebovbacked Julia Avdeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$939.55
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darya Astakhova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$123.39
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,441.56
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.79
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Honbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.43
US Open, Qualification WTA: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$11.92
Winston-Salem Open: Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$901.25
US Open, Qualification WTA: Martyna Kubka vs Annika Penickovabacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$295.84
Showing 25 of 702 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.