Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Mitchell Krueger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc676f2c40f5360f7b55383e665a680a942672b253ed611e206605a56988ed33a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandezof Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, Mitchell Krueger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mitchell Krueger | 37c | 2,952$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.38 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mitchell Krueger | 21c | 2,851$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.1 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 72c | 2,527$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.93 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 44c | 2,015$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.56 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 68c | 1,045$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.73 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 59c | 881.42$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.37 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 65c | 771$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mitchell Krueger | 34c | 675$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Mitchell Krueger | 34c | 669.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.51 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 49c | 665.72$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mitchell Krueger | 46c | 658.74$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.72 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Mitchell Krueger | 44c | 525.07$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mitchell Krueger | 67c | 500.22$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.49 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mitchell Krueger | 44c | 464.69$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Mitchell Krueger | 44c | 350.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Mitchell Krueger | 39c | 263.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mitchell Krueger | 26c | 237.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 67c | 185.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Mitchell Krueger | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Mitchell Krueger | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…ba7abacked Mitchell Krueger | 36c | 147.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mitchell Krueger | 60c | 127.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mitchell Krueger | 35c | 126.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 32c | 114.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mitchell Krueger | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Mitchell Krueger | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mitchell Krueger | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Mitchell Krueger | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mitchell Krueger | 72c | 87.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 49c | 83.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 52c | 74.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 33c | 67.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 52c | 65.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…a898backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 75c | 63.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…ff71backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 70c | 60.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Mitchell Krueger | 45c | 54.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 34c | 47.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 55c | 44.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 67c | 41.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Mitchell Krueger | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Mitchell Krueger | 36c | 37.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Mitchell Krueger | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 52c | 32.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 235 | 56.6%133 W · 102 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 37c | 31.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Mitchell Krueger | 45c | 30.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Mitchell Krueger | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 35c | 28.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 62c | 27.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Mitchell Krueger | 46c | 23.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 67c | 20.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Mitchell Krueger | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.