AI · resolved market
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb42ce799c32e8f0bbe7df6a20396a7ecb1ca494316c5df0027ab89d941e1ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,333,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,193,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,333,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,681 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9604…fc1dbacked No | 2c | 668,573$11,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,484.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked No | 0c | 240,485$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked No | 3c | 209,135$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…cbadbacked No | 1c | 182,496$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 69c | 131,626$91,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,530.98 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed No | 20c | 119,493$24,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,081.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…035bbacked No | 0c | 119,446$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 17c | 117,032$19,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,647.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c47ebacked No | 9c | 114,973$9,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,927.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 22c | 100,224$22,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,440.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…c092backed Yes | 77c | 93,354$71,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,926.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked No | 5c | 88,984$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 1c | 88,167$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 0c | 85,795$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…3f23backed No | 13c | 83,327$10,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,457.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 12c | 77,651$8,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,983.99 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…0c40backed No | 1c | 75,636$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 66c | 70,695$46,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,814.56 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 80c | 68,625$54,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,779.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…ab3bbacked No | 0c | 66,702$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 1c | 63,200$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed No | 7c | 56,463$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed No | 3c | 55,111$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…7588backed No | 0c | 54,947$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed No | 1c | 54,391$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.6 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…f558backed Yes | 77c | 51,606$39,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,666.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 4c | 48,742$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…684abacked Yes | 59c | 48,150$28,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,962.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…ff16backed No | 7c | 47,067$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…ebacbacked No | 13c | 47,036$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…a440backed No | 5c | 43,328$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…02c5backed No | 6c | 43,132$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked No | 23c | 41,242$9,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,296.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…805bbacked No | 0c | 37,842$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed No | 11c | 37,654$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked No | 4c | 35,685$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…2ad3backed No | 4c | 35,000$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked No | 22c | 34,415$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,402.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…5218backed No | 1c | 33,309$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…e2c5backed No | 50c | 32,979$16,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,468.94 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…fffcbacked Yes | 73c | 32,528$23,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…f031backed No | 10c | 31,774$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418c…529cbacked No | 6c | 30,000$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…081dbacked No | 2c | 29,535$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…51e0backed No | 26c | 29,195$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,470.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked No | 8c | 28,524$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…efffbacked No | 5c | 28,109$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 22c | 28,000$6,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,040 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…5ae1backed No | 7c | 27,081$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 25,893$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.74 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 7c | 25,884$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 4c | 25,704$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 73c | 25,283$18,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.32 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 70c | 25,203$17,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,629.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5131…cd65backed No | 16c | 25,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed No | 26c | 25,000$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 19c | 24,977$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.53 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…e043backed No | 4c | 24,944$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…7033backed No | 4c | 24,938$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…05f5backed No | 9c | 24,769$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…819cbacked No | 2c | 24,383$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…9fd5backed No | 4c | 24,018$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 0c | 23,917$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 13c | 23,816$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…eec9backed No | 0c | 22,799$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 75c | 22,413$16,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…dce7backed No | 3c | 22,254$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 1c | 21,946$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…3c88backed Yes | 75c | 21,372$16,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…c495backed No | 22c | 21,300$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…9c58backed No | 8c | 21,264$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 71c | 20,936$14,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed No | 6c | 20,677$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…8dfbbacked Yes | 74c | 20,501$15,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed No | 26c | 20,005$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…70cfbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 12c | 19,996$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed No | 0c | 19,960$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7199…96cebacked No | 4c | 19,418$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…4207backed Yes | 77c | 18,777$14,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9f…55bcbacked Yes | 58c | 18,266$10,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 8c | 18,143$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.72 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 9c | 18,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…4903backed No | 3c | 17,967$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…94bcbacked No | 0c | 17,710$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 17,666$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed No | 16c | 17,051$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 7c | 16,675$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed No | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…73d7backed No | 6c | 16,450$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a84…a27abacked No | 8c | 16,212$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…7b9abacked No | 30c | 16,157$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…82d6backed No | 11c | 16,020$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked No | 11c | 15,708$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…5263backed Yes | 65c | 15,436$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked No | 3c | 15,000$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +413.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f3cdbacked No | 27c | 14,811$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…445cbacked No | 10c | 14,404$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 75c | 14,390$10,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…f577backed No | 9c | 13,994$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?this page
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 15 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 16 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.