TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc322…3f23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$330
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$360
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$336
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,897.34
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.44
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,159.7
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,918Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,126.24
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,159.45
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,929.91
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$2,114.15
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,043.74
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$244.8
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$468
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$728.82
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$42
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.7%+$222.93
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$814
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$403
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$599.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$194.25
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$441.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,403.52
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$577.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,982Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.8%+$6,804.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10,457.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,419.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.