TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof Passion UA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$586,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$653,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Passion UA48c196,236$93,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,629.899942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Passion UA48c87,564$41,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,920.318446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked paiN53c77,274$40,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,584.649861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed paiN72c59,952$43,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,756.0545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked paiN57c46,722$26,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,247.1883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Passion UA45c42,988$19,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.0233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked paiN52c22,637$11,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,829.8117148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed paiN55c22,222$12,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked paiN56c18,324$10,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,996.8216448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Passion UA48c16,791$8,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,059.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed paiN52c15,554$8,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,466.188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed paiN53c14,566$7,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,845.834862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Passion UA26c12,254$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.1124440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN58c11,768$6,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,955.181,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed paiN56c11,294$6,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,972.8353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Passion UA41c10,001$4,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,140.7716335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked paiN51c8,550$4,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.8613050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked paiN53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.7781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Passion UA42c7,764$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.2722849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed paiN53c7,516$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed paiN52c6,700$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,21671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked paiN52c6,000$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8908052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Passion UA44c6,000$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.48042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN51c5,999$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.61,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed paiN53c5,729$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.0228453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed paiN53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.382147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed paiN54c4,800$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN53c4,760$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA41c4,591$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.2481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed paiN67c4,371$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.817455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Passion UA46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8402729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked paiN53c3,986$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.674850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked paiN52c3,795$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.2719849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked paiN52c3,740$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Passion UA46c3,600$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.9824139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed paiN54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6101,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN53c3,367$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked paiN52c3,263$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.591,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN68c3,234$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.9860147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed paiN54c3,111$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.1125252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Passion UA42c3,060$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.1922253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17c2…68c9backed Passion UA48c3,048$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Passion UA35c3,000$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.5518051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked paiN51c2,850$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.4122056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed paiN52c2,765$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.24555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f9…4723backed paiN54c2,384$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Passion UA43c2,335$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.2129855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked paiN52c2,200$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05620855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed paiN52c2,040$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.223852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Passion UA45c2,031$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.9812153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed paiN54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92032425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed paiN53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed paiN55c1,963$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.186432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked Passion UA46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8281533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed paiN52c1,727$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.7360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed paiN59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9210043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked paiN52c1,519$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8315747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed paiN54c1,500$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68325941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN73c1,404$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed paiN52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67228344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked paiN54c1,283$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.416535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA27c1,275$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.043,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Passion UA29c1,124$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0211440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA34c1,123$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.735,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked paiN62c1,120$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9617850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Passion UA45c1,006$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed paiN56c992.23$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5813954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN74c991$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed paiN53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.44344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed paiN76c833$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Passion UA45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Passion UA39c776.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN73c775.62$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.611,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed paiN50c772.86$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.49050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed paiN51c769$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.523357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed paiN56c765.99$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0415749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked paiN55c677$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.651,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed paiN56c668.96$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.156350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked paiN52c651$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.485750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3f…da87backed paiN53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2823132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA6c559$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked paiN65c538.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4611353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed paiN55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Passion UA45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf14…502abacked Passion UA11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked paiN52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed paiN54c476.13$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.023551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed paiN53c471.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.812661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Passion UA22c463.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2621139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe313…dbd1backed Passion UA20c427.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked paiN52c409.58$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.617236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed paiN52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked paiN54c370.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.192236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a38…82f5backed Passion UA14c346.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc322…3f23backed paiN52c333$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f87…c701backed paiN52c333$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+82.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed paiN74c331$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.225747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Passion UA48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed paiN54c311.35$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2226344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.