TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75fc…ee34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,457.83
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 500 (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$591.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$310.03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$301.43
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$221.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+43.8%+$561.83
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30%+$448.32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+33.2%+$165.87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$179.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$309.51
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+63.9%+$383.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+45.9%+$229.27
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$392.86
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+74.2%+$370.88
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+37%+$221.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,543.59
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,047.58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$528.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.