Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f833cf3dc1e8958dea40d9447e3ef96ab6f82c33f0f3a231120b3c2e9c5c32c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 74c | 35,000$25,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,899.28 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 26c | 31,182$8,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,074.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 29c | 2,258$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.85 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 26c | 1,590$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.98 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 1,496$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.08 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 1,233$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 1,191$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.1 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 934.05$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 73c | 762.1$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.03 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 692.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 631.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 15c | 553.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 27c | 488.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 457.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 76c | 422.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 64c | 407.32$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 401.41$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 28c | 351.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 297.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 75c | 291.06$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…1df1backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes | 77c | 262.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 52c | 250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 26c | 235.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 61c | 229.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 26c | 229.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 210.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 26c | 199.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed No | 27c | 179.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +186%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 76c | 170.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…4c8bbacked Yes | 37c | 161.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 25c | 161$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 27c | 149.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 27c | 148.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…422dbacked Yes | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 49c | 103.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 25c | 99.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed No | 28c | 90.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18a…19cfbacked Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…7169backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 27c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 27c | 75.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…f319backed Yes | 75c | 74.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…47f7backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 75c | 68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 76c | 65.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 55c | 58.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x638b…dec6backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 73c | 48.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…16f2backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +196.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…4f45backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +281%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 28c | 39.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 27c | 37.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 55c | 36.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…705abacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…c561backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 74c | 23.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…cb2fbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…3aa5backed Yes | 68c | 19.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 18.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.