TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe977…fcd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$105.12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$234.56
Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$210.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$37.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$316.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.68
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.47
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+61%+$61.56
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$102.9
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30.6%+$39.58
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$24.87
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101.6
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$25.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$53.06
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$45.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$452.95
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$747
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.63
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.53
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+427.3%+$222.21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$28.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$39.28
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25.4%+$25.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$53.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.85
Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$36.48
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$61.2
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$62.84
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$10.36
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$70.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$70
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$42.07
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$82.85
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.31
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$79.36
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$66.64
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$101.25
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$26.98
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$30.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$62.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.