Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd18d8a6b4625c5893e5464bda7387ca0831b95e56bd7019a59f0b5cc610f34c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 55c | 14,113$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.85 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 45c | 13,336$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.08 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 52c | 8,000$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 5,394$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.51 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 21c | 4,513$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.02 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 3,487$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.91 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 2,850$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.5 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,283$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,495$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.32 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.29 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 1,377$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.81 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,170$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 1,008$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.33 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 48c | 912.24$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 900$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 30c | 854$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.08 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 27c | 768.13$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 45c | 767.27$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 713.04$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 53c | 499.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 55c | 473.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 47c | 424$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 45c | 411.11$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 46c | 407.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 32c | 379.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 53c | 378.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 376.02$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 54c | 306.7$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 47c | 298$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 294.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 289.1$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 46c | 258.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 47c | 227.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…8e90backed Yes | 7c | 223.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 38c | 215.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 53c | 212.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 45c | 205$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 44c | 176.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 40c | 175.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 170$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 14c | 147.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 129.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 55c | 126.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 43c | 126.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 56c | 126.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 45c | 112.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 30c | 111.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 55c | 103$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…d35bbacked No | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…79a4backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 23c | 92.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.