TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3273…5a11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST3528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,293.09
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.78
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$299.8
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$685.54
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,126.56
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$840
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$582.04
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$1,400
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.1%+$630.23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+99.4%+$721.06
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$636.52
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$569
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Will Stoke City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+233.3%+$933.33
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$520.94
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$135.85
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$876.19
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$730
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$828.57
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$759.94
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$91.76
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$860
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+203%+$1,218.18
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$866.67
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+239.4%+$1,197.07
Will Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+194.1%+$776.47
Will Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$676.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick37cpaid+112.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will NEC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)backed FC Twente '65 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+118.8%+$926.44
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)backed Telstar 1963 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+101.1%+$202.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+136.5%+$669.02
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$966.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$525
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.