NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3283cf0f5f12d782c24d60d61245e64506a578783039b152f137e98f1abe0e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Lakers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,036,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,053,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Lakers | 52c | 675,940$350,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Suns | 48c | 379,009$181,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,376.8 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Suns | 52c | 77,630$39,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,638.79 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns | 49c | 58,233$28,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,712.45 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 49c | 41,541$20,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,321.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 48c | 40,592$19,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,939.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Suns | 48c | 37,946$18,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,732.08 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 52c | 35,983$18,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,733.51 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 50c | 31,695$15,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000.02 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Lakers | 48c | 16,685$8,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,008.69 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…d6f8backed Lakers | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 49c | 13,878$6,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,061.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 49c | 11,808$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.23 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Suns | 49c | 11,285$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.61 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 52c | 10,000$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Suns | 49c | 8,916$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.01 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Suns | 49c | 8,396$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.96 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 69c | 6,548$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.71 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Lakers | 48c | 5,780$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.4 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Suns | 52c | 4,363$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.25 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Suns | 48c | 4,127$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.05 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Lakers | 52c | 3,844$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers | 52c | 3,192$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 49c | 3,036$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.4 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 50c | 2,999$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.5 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,888$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.77 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Suns | 54c | 2,781$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Lakers | 50c | 2,487$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.5 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Lakers | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Suns | 49c | 2,212$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.12 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 49c | 2,153$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.34 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Suns | 53c | 1,832$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.99 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 43c | 1,671$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 50c | 1,601$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.71 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Suns | 50c | 1,406$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.33 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.41 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Suns | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lakers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 51c | 936.96$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Lakers | 46c | 822.98$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.57 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 49c | 798.78$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.37 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Lakers | 51c | 775.02$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.97 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Suns | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Lakers | 50c | 702.51$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Suns | 49c | 700$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Suns | 47c | 658$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.86 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Suns | 51c | 621.25$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 48c | 619$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Lakers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Lakers | 57c | 548.86$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.51 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Lakers | 53c | 514.58$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.73 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Lakers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Lakers | 44c | 440.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Suns | 49c | 404.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Lakers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…23a9backed Lakers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Lakers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Lakers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Lakers | 50c | 319.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lakers | 49c | 314.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9239…a358backed Suns | 49c | 300.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Lakers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Lakers | 50c | 278.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 49c | 265.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Lakers | 33c | 250.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 51c | 242.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Lakers | 30c | 209.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Suns | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Suns | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…21f6backed Lakers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Suns | 46c | 199.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Suns | 53c | 195.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Lakers | 51c | 190.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Suns | 49c | 163.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Lakers | 52c | 159.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Lakers | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Lakers | 52c | 154.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Lakers | 49c | 153.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Suns | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Lakers | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Lakers | 62c | 148$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Lakers | 48c | 147.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Lakers | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lakers | 53c | 137.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Suns | 59c | 125.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Suns | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. LakersSuns won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.