TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2025…129e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Colts vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Cardinals vs. Texansbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Browns vs. Bears: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$52.81
Raiders vs. Eaglesbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will the Colts sign Phillip Rivers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$55.65
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.9%+$48.43
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49
O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Spread: Virginia (-3.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+175.7%+$175.68
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Miami Ohio win the 2025 Mid-American Conference Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise State: O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Spread: James Madison (-23.5)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)backed Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Spread: UNLV (-7.5)backed UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Spread: Alabama (-5.5)backed Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Washington State (-13.5)backed Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+93.9%+$79.82
Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$70
Spread: Missouri (-3.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.94
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesotabacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Florida International (-10.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
UTEP vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36.56
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$157
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$57.2
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$84
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$70
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$58.8
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$37.33
Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$72
Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$107.91
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$17.25
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$73.23
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Magic: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$65
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90.8
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Spread: Jazz (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$106.42
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$28.19
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$99
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$74.25
Stars vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+86%+$61.1
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$25.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$99
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$310
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Sharaf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$535.5
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+229.3%+$120.96
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+138%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+32.2%+$724.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.