NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f00a00d6d26889314642200dc107be05314f750dadc52fafc3844893a8584b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Lakers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lakers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Mavericks | 50c | 25,374$12,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,687 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 48c | 14,652$6,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.24 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 48c | 12,200$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 51c | 9,388$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 52c | 8,533$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 53c | 7,969$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.4 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Mavericks | 51c | 6,351$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.86 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…aa2cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,180$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 54c | 3,855$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.5 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…f731backed Lakers | 53c | 3,486$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…9e65backed Lakers | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,449$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.3 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Lakers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,411$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 54c | 1,320$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lakers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lakers | 43c | 928.79$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Mavericks | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Lakers | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Lakers | 32c | 821.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.85 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Mavericks | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lakers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 625$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lakers | 48c | 522.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Mavericks | 48c | 516.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.37 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 47c | 474$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Lakers | 51c | 472.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 50c | 431$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lakers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Lakers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lakers | 52c | 349.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Lakers | 51c | 342$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 59c | 339$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 46c | 334.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Mavericks | 49c | 332$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed Mavericks | 50c | 330$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 324$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Mavericks | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Mavericks | 56c | 287.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Lakers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Lakers | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Lakers | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Mavericks | 53c | 189.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…63d1backed Lakers | 50c | 159.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Mavericks | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Lakers | 48c | 149.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Mavericks | 54c | 146.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Lakers | 47c | 142.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mavericks | 57c | 130.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 46c | 120.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…87f0backed Mavericks | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lakers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Lakers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 45c | 97.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Mavericks | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Lakers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mavericks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Lakers | 52c | 78.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Mavericks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Lakers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Mavericks | 51c | 59.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Lakers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Lakers | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 51c | 52.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Mavericks | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Mavericks | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf93…a876backed Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…f0cbbacked Lakers | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 50c | 36.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…0939backed Lakers | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Mavericks | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Lakers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…c61bbacked Lakers | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…2b53backed Lakers | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Mavericks | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. LakersLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.