TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01db…16e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Cricket, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Blues vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$85.56
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$190.91
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Utah vs. Bluesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$138.31
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.55
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$113.78
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Hurricanesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$199
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Devils vs. Sabresbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$284.31
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$195.99
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$369
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$254
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$545
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+43.1%+$149.11
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$100.13
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$221.92
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+89.7%+$89.72
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+233.3%+$280
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+67.5%+$67.5
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Bulls (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$128.31
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. San Jose Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$146.83
UNLV vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$141.18
UL Monroe vs. Louisianabacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.75
Kennesaw State vs. Libertybacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+84%+$335.87
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+52.9%+$158.59
Troy vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
South Alabama vs. Texas Statebacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$269.02
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Georgia (-14.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$207.08
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$203
Spread: North Texas (-20.5)backed Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Air Force vs. Colorado Statebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Ohio vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Utah (-11.5)backed Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+89.5%+$89.5
Spread: Iowa (-5.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Vitality (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+231.5%+$231.47
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$107.14
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$140.32
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+203%+$203.03
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$340.74
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$206.06
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$511
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$183.87
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+76.9%+$230.58
Will St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47%+$47.03
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$69.56
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$206.06
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$47.85
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$288.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$372
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+136.8%+$136.82
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$242.16
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$383.61
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$206.06
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+133.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$84.38
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+131.4%+$262.78
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+212.5%+$106.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$496
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$198
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$999.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Los Ratones (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.