College Football · resolved market
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8acefd2d6935f23f91e005f56ead629facf2dfdf3d11bab6e3f16b3ee538d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $684,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 500,000$260,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259,999.99 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Indiana | 49c | 181,106$87,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,225.53 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Indiana | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Indiana | 48c | 66,486$31,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,572.96 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Indiana | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 24,000$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,239.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 23,733$12,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,103.64 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana | 48c | 21,786$10,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,224.47 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Indiana | 48c | 21,010$10,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,925.06 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Indiana | 48c | 20,600$9,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,712 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Indiana | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Indiana | 49c | 17,870$8,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,134.4 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Indiana | 49c | 15,613$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,962.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Indiana | 48c | 12,468$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.36 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Indiana | 49c | 8,694$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Indiana | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Indiana | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Indiana | 48c | 6,976$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.52 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 6,606$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.46 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Indiana | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Indiana | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Indiana | 48c | 4,849$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.63 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Indiana | 49c | 4,561$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.32 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Indiana | 48c | 3,542$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Indiana | 48c | 2,920$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.37 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Indiana | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Indiana | 50c | 1,991$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.74 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Indiana | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Indiana | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Indiana | 49c | 1,295$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.41 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Indiana | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Indiana | 48c | 729.72$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Indiana | 48c | 671.66$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.27 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Indiana | 45c | 636.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.83 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 560$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana | 48c | 517.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.71 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 513.33$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Indiana | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Indiana | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 424.59$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Indiana | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Indiana | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Indiana | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Indiana | 48c | 392$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 355$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…6d2abacked Indiana | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Indiana | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Indiana | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 172.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Indiana | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Indiana | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 125.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Indiana | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Indiana | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Indiana | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Indiana | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Indiana | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Indiana | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Indiana | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Indiana | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 98.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Indiana | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Indiana | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Indiana | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Indiana | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Indiana | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Indiana | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana | 46c | 47.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Indiana | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…db78backed Indiana | 48c | 43.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Indiana | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Indiana | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Indiana | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Indiana | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Indiana | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Indiana | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…783cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 28.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Indiana | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…5080backed Indiana | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…c01abacked Indiana | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana (-28.5)this page
- Indiana vs. Purdue BoilermakersIndiana won
- Indiana vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 52.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.